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Brand : Springer, Binding : Taschenbuch, Edition : 1st ed. 2007. Corr. 2nd printing, Label : Springer, Publisher : Springer, PackageQuantity : 1, medium : Taschenbuch, numberOfPages : 278, publicationDate : 2007-07-31, releaseDate : 2007-07-01, authors : Jim Albert, ISBN : 0387713840

From where we stand, the rain seems random. If we could stand somewhere else, we would see the order in it. - T. Hillerman (1990) Coyote Waits. Harper-Collins, New York. This book stemmed from a translation of a French version that was written to supplement the gap in the French statistical literature about Bayesian Analysis and Decision Theory. As a result, its scope is wide enough to cover the two years of the French graduate Statistics curriculum and, more generally, most graduate programs. This book builds on very little pre­ requisites in Statistics and only requires basic skills in calculus, measure theory, and probability. Intended as a preparation of Ph. D. students, this book goes far enough to cover advanced topics and modern developments of Bayesian Statistics (complete class theorems, the Stein effect, hierarchical and empirical modelings, Gibbs sampling, etc. ). As usual, what started as a translation eventually ended up as a deeper revision, because of the com­ ments of French readers, of adjustments to the different needs of American programs, and also because my perception of things has slightly changed in the meantime. As a result, this new version is quite adequate for a general graduate audience of an American university.

Winner of the 2004 DeGroot Prize This paperback edition, a reprint of the 2001 edition, is a graduate-level textbook that introduces Bayesian statistics and decision theory. It covers both the basic ideas of statistical theory, and also some of the more modern and advanced topics of Bayesian statistics such as complete class theorems, the Stein effect, Bayesian model choice, hierarchical and empirical Bayes modeling, Monte Carlo integration including Gibbs sampling, and other MCMC techniques. It was awarded the 2004 DeGroot Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) for setting "a new standard for modern textbooks dealing with Bayesian methods, especially those using MCMC techniques, and that it is a worthy successor to DeGroot's and Berger's earlier texts". Christian P. Robert is Professor of Statistics in the Applied Mathematics Department at the Université Paris Dauphine, and Head of the Statistics Laboratory at the Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST) of the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) in Paris. In addition to many papers on Bayesian statistics, simulation methods, and decision theory, he has written four other books, including Monte Carlo Statistical Method (Springer 2004) with George Casella and Bayesian Core (Springer 2007) with Jean-Michel Marin. He has served or is serving as associate editor for the Annals of Statistics, Bayesian Analysis, the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Statistical Science, and Sankhya. and is editor of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B) from 2006–2009. He is a fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and received the 1995 Young Statistician Award of the Société de Statistique de Paris. Review of the second edition: "The text reads fluently and beautifully throughout, with light, good-humouredtouches that warm the reader without being intrusive. There are many examples and exercises, some of which draw out the essence of work of other authors. Only a few displays and equations have numbers attached. This is an extremely fine, exceptional text of the highest quality." (ISI Short Book Reviews)

Winner of the 2004 DeGroot Prize This paperback edition, a reprint of the 2001 edition, is a graduate-level textbook that introduces Bayesian statistics and decision theory. It covers both the basic ideas of statistical theory, and also some of the more modern and advanced topics of Bayesian statistics such as complete class theorems, the Stein effect, Bayesian model choice, hierarchical and empirical Bayes modeling, Monte Carlo integration including Gibbs sampling, and other MCMC techniques. It was awarded the 2004 DeGroot Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) for setting "a new standard for modern textbooks dealing with Bayesian methods, especially those using MCMC techniques, and that it is a worthy successor to DeGroot's and Berger's earlier texts". Christian P. Robert is Professor of Statistics in the Applied Mathematics Department at the Université Paris Dauphine, and Head of the Statistics Laboratory at the Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST) of the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) in Paris. In addition to many papers on Bayesian statistics, simulation methods, and decision theory, he has written four other books, including Monte Carlo Statistical Method (Springer 2004) with George Casella and Bayesian Core (Springer 2007) with Jean-Michel Marin. He has served or is serving as associate editor for the Annals of Statistics, Bayesian Analysis, the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Statistical Science, and Sankhya. and is editor of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B) from 2006–2009. He is a fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and received the 1995 Young Statistician Award of the Société de Statistique de Paris. Review of the second edition: "The text reads fluently and beautifully throughout, with light, good-humouredtouches that warm the reader without being intrusive. There are many examples and exercises, some of which draw out the essence of work of other authors. Only a few displays and equations have numbers attached. This is an extremely fine, exceptional text of the highest quality." (ISI Short Book Reviews)

Winner of the 2004 DeGroot Prize This paperback edition, a reprint of the 2001 edition, is a graduate-level textbook that introduces Bayesian statistics and decision theory. It covers both the basic ideas of statistical theory, and also some of the more modern and advanced topics of Bayesian statistics such as complete class theorems, the Stein effect, Bayesian model choice, hierarchical and empirical Bayes modeling, Monte Carlo integration including Gibbs sampling, and other MCMC techniques. It was awarded the 2004 DeGroot Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) for setting "a new standard for modern textbooks dealing with Bayesian methods, especially those using MCMC techniques, and that it is a worthy successor to DeGroot's and Berger's earlier texts". Christian P. Robert is Professor of Statistics in the Applied Mathematics Department at the Université Paris Dauphine, and Head of the Statistics Laboratory at the Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST) of the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) in Paris. In addition to many papers on Bayesian statistics, simulation methods, and decision theory, he has written four other books, including Monte Carlo Statistical Method (Springer 2004) with George Casella and Bayesian Core (Springer 2007) with Jean-Michel Marin. He has served or is serving as associate editor for the Annals of Statistics, Bayesian Analysis, the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Statistical Science, and Sankhya. and is editor of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B) from 2006–2009. He is a fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and received the 1995 Young Statistician Award of the Société de Statistique de Paris. Review of the second edition: "The text reads fluently and beautifully throughout, with light, good-humouredtouches that warm the reader without being intrusive. There are many examples and exercises, some of which draw out the essence of work of other authors. Only a few displays and equations have numbers attached. This is an extremely fine, exceptional text of the highest quality." (ISI Short Book Reviews)

Bayesian Networks in R with Applications in Systems Biology is unique as it introduces the reader to the essential concepts in Bayesian network modeling and inference in conjunction with examples in the open-source statistical environment R. The level of sophistication is also gradually increased across the chapters with exercises and solutions for enhanced understanding for hands-on experimentation of the theory and concepts. The application focuses on systems biology with emphasis on modeling pathways and signaling mechanisms from high-throughput molecular data. Bayesian networks have proven to be especially useful abstractions in this regard. Their usefulness is especially exemplified by their ability to discover new associations in addition to validating known ones across the molecules of interest. It is also expected that the prevalence of publicly available high-throughput biological data sets may encourage the audience to explore investigating novel paradigms using theapproaches presented in the book.

*Bayesian Meta-Analysis * - A Practical Introduction / 70.49€ / Taschenbuch

Bayesian Networks in R with Applications in Systems Biology is unique as it introduces the reader to the essential concepts in Bayesian network modeling and inference in conjunction with examples in the open-source statistical environment R. The level of sophistication is also gradually increased across the chapters with exercises and solutions for enhanced understanding for hands-on experimentation of the theory and concepts. The application focuses on systems biology with emphasis on modeling pathways and signaling mechanisms from high-throughput molecular data. Bayesian networks have proven to be especially useful abstractions in this regard. Their usefulness is especially exemplified by their ability to discover new associations in addition to validating known ones across the molecules of interest. It is also expected that the prevalence of publicly available high-throughput biological data sets may encourage the audience to explore investigating novel paradigms using theapproaches presented in the book.

After that, it was down to attitude. —Ian Rankin, Black & Blue. — The purpose of this book is to provide a self-contained (we insist!) entry into practical and computational Bayesian statistics using generic examples from the most common models for a class duration of about seven blocks that roughly correspond to 13 to 15 weeks of teaching (with three hours of lectures per week), depending on the intended level and the prerequisites imposed on the students. (That estimate does not include practice—i. e. , programming labs—since those may have a variable duration, also depending on the s- dents’ involvement and their programming abilities. ) The emphasis on practice is a strong feature of this book in that its primary audience consists of gr- uate students who need to use (Bayesian) statistics as a tool to analyze their experiments and/or datasets. The book should also appeal to scientists in all ?elds, given the versatility of the Bayesian tools. It can also be used for a more classical statistics audience when aimed at teaching a quick entry to Bayesian statistics at the end of an undergraduate program for instance. (Obviously, it can supplement another textbook on data analysis at the graduate level.

This book covers the essential theory and implementation of popular Bayesian optimization techniques in an intuitive and well-illustrated manner. The techniques covered in this book will enable you to better tune the hyperparemeters of your machine learning models and learn sample-efficient approaches to global optimization. The book begins by introducing different Bayesian Optimization (BO) techniques, covering both commonly used tools and advanced topics. It follows a “develop from scratch” method using Python, and gradually builds up to more advanced libraries such as BoTorch, an open-source project introduced by Facebook recently. Along the way, you’ll see practical implementations of this important discipline along with thorough coverage and straightforward explanations of essential theories. This book intends to bridge the gap between researchers and practitioners, providing both with a comprehensive, easy-to-digest, and useful reference guide. After completingthis book, you will have a firm grasp of Bayesian optimization techniques, which you’ll be able to put into practice in your own machine learning models. What You Will Learn Apply Bayesian Optimization to build better machine learning models Understand and research existing and new Bayesian Optimization techniques Leverage high-performance libraries such as BoTorch, which offer you the ability to dig into and edit the inner working Dig into the inner workings of common optimization algorithms used to guide the search process in Bayesian optimization Who This Book Is For Beginner to intermediate level professionals in machine learning, analytics or other roles relevant in data science.

This book covers the essential theory and implementation of popular Bayesian optimization techniques in an intuitive and well-illustrated manner. The techniques covered in this book will enable you to better tune the hyperparemeters of your machine learning models and learn sample-efficient approaches to global optimization. The book begins by introducing different Bayesian Optimization (BO) techniques, covering both commonly used tools and advanced topics. It follows a “develop from scratch” method using Python, and gradually builds up to more advanced libraries such as BoTorch, an open-source project introduced by Facebook recently. Along the way, you’ll see practical implementations of this important discipline along with thorough coverage and straightforward explanations of essential theories. This book intends to bridge the gap between researchers and practitioners, providing both with a comprehensive, easy-to-digest, and useful reference guide. After completingthis book, you will have a firm grasp of Bayesian optimization techniques, which you’ll be able to put into practice in your own machine learning models. What You Will Learn Apply Bayesian Optimization to build better machine learning models Understand and research existing and new Bayesian Optimization techniques Leverage high-performance libraries such as BoTorch, which offer you the ability to dig into and edit the inner working Dig into the inner workings of common optimization algorithms used to guide the search process in Bayesian optimization Who This Book Is For Beginner to intermediate level professionals in machine learning, analytics or other roles relevant in data science.

Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples. Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change that. This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples. By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to: - How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data.

This Bayesian modeling book provides a self-contained entry to computational Bayesian statistics. Focusing on the most standard statistical models and backed up by real datasets and an all-inclusive R (CRAN) package called bayess, the book provides an operational methodology for conducting Bayesian inference, rather than focusing on its theoretical and philosophical justifications. Readers are empowered to participate in the real-life data analysis situations depicted here from the beginning. Special attention is paid to the derivation of prior distributions in each case and specific reference solutions are given for each of the models. Similarly, computational details are worked out to lead the reader towards an effective programming of the methods given in the book. In particular, all R codes are discussed with enough detail to make them readily understandable and expandable. Bayesian Essentials with R can be used as a textbook at both undergraduate and graduate levels. It is particularly useful with students in professional degree programs and scientists to analyze data the Bayesian way. The text will also enhance introductory courses on Bayesian statistics. Prerequisites for the book are an undergraduate background in probability and statistics, if not in Bayesian statistics.

This Bayesian modeling book provides a self-contained entry to computational Bayesian statistics. Focusing on the most standard statistical models and backed up by real datasets and an all-inclusive R (CRAN) package called bayess, the book provides an operational methodology for conducting Bayesian inference, rather than focusing on its theoretical and philosophical justifications. Readers are empowered to participate in the real-life data analysis situations depicted here from the beginning. Special attention is paid to the derivation of prior distributions in each case and specific reference solutions are given for each of the models. Similarly, computational details are worked out to lead the reader towards an effective programming of the methods given in the book. In particular, all R codes are discussed with enough detail to make them readily understandable and expandable. Bayesian Essentials with R can be used as a textbook at both undergraduate and graduate levels. It is particularly useful with students in professional degree programs and scientists to analyze data the Bayesian way. The text will also enhance introductory courses on Bayesian statistics. Prerequisites for the book are an undergraduate background in probability and statistics, if not in Bayesian statistics.

The author develops a novel analysis method for QCD sum rules (QCDSR) by applying the maximum entropy method (MEM) to arrive at an analysis with less artificial assumptions than previously held. This is a first-time accomplishment in the field. In this thesis, a reformed MEM for QCDSR is formalized and is applied to the sum rules of several channels: the light-quark meson in the vector channel, the light-quark baryon channel with spin and isospin 1/2, and several quarkonium channels at both zero and finite temperatures. This novel technique of combining QCDSR with MEM is applied to the study of quarkonium in hot matter, which is an important probe of the quark-gluon plasma currently being created in heavy-ion collision experiments at RHIC and LHC.

This Bayesian modeling book provides a self-contained entry to computational Bayesian statistics. Focusing on the most standard statistical models and backed up by real datasets and an all-inclusive R (CRAN) package called bayess, the book provides an operational methodology for conducting Bayesian inference, rather than focusing on its theoretical and philosophical justifications. Readers are empowered to participate in the real-life data analysis situations depicted here from the beginning. Special attention is paid to the derivation of prior distributions in each case and specific reference solutions are given for each of the models. Similarly, computational details are worked out to lead the reader towards an effective programming of the methods given in the book. In particular, all R codes are discussed with enough detail to make them readily understandable and expandable. Bayesian Essentials with R can be used as a textbook at both undergraduate and graduate levels. It is particularly useful with students in professional degree programs and scientists to analyze data the Bayesian way. The text will also enhance introductory courses on Bayesian statistics. Prerequisites for the book are an undergraduate background in probability and statistics, if not in Bayesian statistics.

Bayesian Reliability presents modern methods and techniques for analyzing reliability data from a Bayesian perspective. The adoption and application of Bayesian methods in virtually all branches of science and engineering have significantly increased over the past few decades. This increase is largely due to advances in simulation-based computational tools for implementing Bayesian methods. The authors extensively use such tools throughout this book, focusing on assessing the reliability of components and systems with particular attention to hierarchical models and models incorporating explanatory variables. Such models include failure time regression models, accelerated testing models, and degradation models. The authors pay special attention to Bayesian goodness-of-fit testing, model validation, reliability test design, and assurance test planning. Throughout the book, the authors use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for implementing Bayesian analyses -- algorithms that make the Bayesian approach to reliability computationally feasible and conceptually straightforward. This book is primarily a reference collection of modern Bayesian methods in reliability for use by reliability practitioners. There are more than 70 illustrative examples, most of which utilize real-world data. This book can also be used as a textbook for a course in reliability and contains more than 160 exercises. Noteworthy highlights of the book include Bayesian approaches for the following: Goodness-of-fit and model selection methods Hierarchical models for reliability estimation Fault tree analysis methodology that supports data acquisition at all levels in the tree Bayesian networks in reliability analysis Analysis of failure count and failure time data collected from repairable systems, and the assessment of various related performance criteria Analysis of nondestructive and destructive degradation data Optimal design of reliability experiments Hierarchical reliability assurance testing

The author develops a novel analysis method for QCD sum rules (QCDSR) by applying the maximum entropy method (MEM) to arrive at an analysis with less artificial assumptions than previously held. This is a first-time accomplishment in the field. In this thesis, a reformed MEM for QCDSR is formalized and is applied to the sum rules of several channels: the light-quark meson in the vector channel, the light-quark baryon channel with spin and isospin 1/2, and several quarkonium channels at both zero and finite temperatures. This novel technique of combining QCDSR with MEM is applied to the study of quarkonium in hot matter, which is an important probe of the quark-gluon plasma currently being created in heavy-ion collision experiments at RHIC and LHC.

Bayesian Reliability presents modern methods and techniques for analyzing reliability data from a Bayesian perspective. The adoption and application of Bayesian methods in virtually all branches of science and engineering have significantly increased over the past few decades. This increase is largely due to advances in simulation-based computational tools for implementing Bayesian methods. The authors extensively use such tools throughout this book, focusing on assessing the reliability of components and systems with particular attention to hierarchical models and models incorporating explanatory variables. Such models include failure time regression models, accelerated testing models, and degradation models. The authors pay special attention to Bayesian goodness-of-fit testing, model validation, reliability test design, and assurance test planning. Throughout the book, the authors use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for implementing Bayesian analyses -- algorithms that make the Bayesian approach to reliability computationally feasible and conceptually straightforward. This book is primarily a reference collection of modern Bayesian methods in reliability for use by reliability practitioners. There are more than 70 illustrative examples, most of which utilize real-world data. This book can also be used as a textbook for a course in reliability and contains more than 160 exercises. Noteworthy highlights of the book include Bayesian approaches for the following: Goodness-of-fit and model selection methods Hierarchical models for reliability estimation Fault tree analysis methodology that supports data acquisition at all levels in the tree Bayesian networks in reliability analysis Analysis of failure count and failure time data collected from repairable systems, and the assessment of various related performance criteria Analysis of nondestructive and destructive degradation data Optimal design of reliability experiments Hierarchical reliability assurance testing