Es wurden 43 Produkte zu dem Suchbegriff uncertainty in 7 Shops gefunden:

Binding : Gebundene Ausgabe, Edition : 1. Auflage, Label : John Wiley & Sons, Publisher : John Wiley & Sons, NumberOfItems : 1, medium : Gebundene Ausgabe, numberOfPages : 240, publicationDate : 2009-05-22, authors : Dotlich, David L., Cairo, Peter C., Rhinesmith, Stephen H., languages : english, ISBN : 047040230X

'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' Telegraph From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

Binding : Gebundene Ausgabe, Label : Harvard Business Review Press, Publisher : Harvard Business Review Press, NumberOfItems : 1, medium : Gebundene Ausgabe, numberOfPages : 400, publicationDate : 2000-08-17, authors : McGrath, Rita Gunther, Ian MacMillan, languages : english, ISBN : 0875848346

Age Of Uncertainty

Tiptop Audio Buchla Model 266t; Eurorack Modul; Source Of Uncertainty - mehrkanalige Quelle für analoge Zufallsspannungen; zwei Kanäle für fluktuierende zufällige Steuerspannungen, je mit einstellbarer Rate (0.05Hz - 50Hz) und CV-Eingang; ein Kanal für quantisierte zufällige Steuerspannungen (Anzahl der Zustände wählbar per Regler und CV-Eingang) mit Trigger-Eingang und zwei Ausgängen mit unterschiedlicher statistischer Verteilung der Zufallswerte; ein Kanal für zufällige Steuerspannungen mit Trigger-Eingang und zwei Ausgängen für gleichmäßige statistische Verteilung und einstellbarer Verteilung der Amplituden-Häufigkeit (Verteilung der niedrigen, mittleren und hohen Spannungswerte über Regler und CV-Eingang steuerbar); einstellbarer Integrator / Slew Limiter mit CV-Eingang; Sample & Hold Sektion mit vier alternierenden Ausgängen für die Trigger- und CV-Signale; Rauschgenerator mit drei Ausgängen (Rosa, Weißes und Blaues Rauschen); Strombedarf: 150mA (+12V) / 100mA (-12V); Breite: 24 TE; Tiefe: 25mm

Tales Of Uncertainty

Uncertainty is Bliss

Uncertainty is Bliss

Tales Of Uncertainty

'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' Telegraph From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' Telegraph From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

"Exhaustively detailed yet eminently readable, this is an important book."Publishers Weekly, starred review "Cassidy does not so much exculpate Heisenberg as explain him, with a transparency that makes this biography a pleasure to read."Los Angeles Times "Well crafted and readable . . . [Cassidy] provides a nuanced and compelling account of Heisenberg's life."The Harvard Book Review In 1992, David C. Cassidy's groundbreaking biography of Werner Heisenberg, Uncertainty, was published to resounding acclaim from scholars and critics. Michael Frayn, in the Playbill of the Broadway production of Copenhagen, referred to it as one of his main sources and "the standard work in English." Richard Rhodes (The Making of the Atom Bomb) called it "the definitive biography of a great and tragic physicist," and the Los Angeles Times praised it as "an important book. Cassidy has sifted the record and brilliantly detailed Heisenberg's actions." No book that has appeared since has rivaled Uncertainty, now out of print, for its depth and rich detail of the life, times, and science of this brilliant and controversial figure of twentieth-century physics. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, long-suppressed information has emerged on Heisenberg's role in the Nazi atomic bomb project. In Beyond Uncertainty, Cassidy interprets this and other previously unknown material within the context of his vast research and tackles the vexing questions of a scientist's personal responsibility and guilt when serving an abhorrent military regime. David C. Cassidy is the author of J. Robert Oppenheimer and the American Century, Einstein and Our World, and Uncertainty.

A Drop Of Hope In The Ocean Of Uncertainty

Narrated by the authors Sam Conniff and Katherine Templar Lewis, this immersive audiobook includes live interviews with real-life uncertainty survivors, all backed by an ambient soundscape composed by Ross Godfrey of Morcheeba.What can an ex-gangland boss, a recovering addict and a refugee teach you about thriving in the face of uncertainty?It's the 'Do you have five minutes?' message from your boss. The 'We need to chat' from a loved one. Those spiralling thoughts at 3 a.m. and buzz of yet another breaking news alert. The potential coming waves of AI, climate change and unstable governments.For most of us, uncertainty is paralysing. But learning to navigate it effectively means more confidence, less anxiety and deeper connection with others.The Uncertainty Toolkit is a pioneering, evidence-based guide to doing just that. Drawing on the world's most extensive study into 'uncertainty tolerance', led with professors from University College London, it explains the science behind how we cope with the unknown. This research is combined with the radical expertise of an unlikely group of experts - former addicts, hostages, gangland bosses and prisoners - who've turned their experience of extreme uncertainty into major mainstream success.The result is a detailed, practical blueprint that will help anyone turn unpredictability into personal and professional growth.

*The Art of Uncertainty * - How to Navigate Chance Ignorance Risk and Luck / 27.99€ / Buch

Abstract Uncertainty

Tales Of Uncertainty (White Vinyl)

Humanity faces complex global challenges, from technological and geopolitical shocks to social and ecological disruptions. Fear, hesitation, and avoidance won't help us overcome them. Slowing down is not the answer. We must move faster, think bigger, and fully leverage technology to build a future worth striving for. We need active hope and bold leaders who can turn adversity into opportunity. The Uncertainty Principle focuses on the key levers of transformation to help leaders rethink and reshape their companies: strategy, foresight, organizational design, culture, innovation, risk appetite, and the evolving nature of work. Above all, it serves as a guide for those who see cracks in the system not as warnings, but as windows - those daring enough to believe they can change the world, because they are the ones who will. 'As we zoom up the exponential curve of tech-enabled change we all need an optimistic and inspiring guide. Peter Hinssen is that guide. In this new book, Peter describes a "Never Normal world" helping us navigate "between the forces of pessimism and possibility."' - Dr Peter Weill, Chairman MIT Center for Information Systems Research (CISR) 'In an age when warnings dominate the conversation, The Uncertainty Principle stands out as a refreshingly optimistic guide. It demonstrates how business leaders can turn disruption into opportunity - not just for their own organizations, but for the world at large.' - Costas Markides, Professor of Strategy and Entrepreneurship at London Business School 'Uncertainty isn't a threat - it's the raw material for tomorrow's opportunities. This book helps leaders imagine the impossible and install hope to change the future. A must-read!' - David De Cremer, Dean of D'Amore-McKim School of Business at Northeastern University

*Winning the Uncertainty Game * - Turning Strategic Intent into Results with Wargaming / 50.49€ / ebook

Too often we choose the wrong doctor for the wrong reasons. It doesn't have to be that way. In The Good Doctor, Ken Brigham, MD, and Michael M.E. Johns, MD, argue that we need to change the way we think about health care if we want to be the healthiest we can be. Counterintuitive as it may seem, uncertainty is integral to medicine, and you want a doctor who knows that: someone who sees you as the unique case you are, someone who knows that data isn't everything, someone who is able to change her mind as the information changes. For too long we've clung to the myth of the infallible doctor--one who assuredly tells us this is what's wrong and here is how I will cure you--and our health has suffered for it. Brigham and Johns propose a new model of medicine, one that is comfortable with ambiguity and that centers on an equal partnership between patient and doctor. Uncertainty, properly embraced, opens a new universe of possibilities.